Today’s NFL Game Odds Ranked by Expected Value

EV (Expected Value)
A quick way to measure how much value certain data may actually have. Positive EV means the model thinks the price may be better than it should be.

Model Probability
The model’s estimate of how often the odds should hit.

Spread
The margin a team must cover. Favorites usually have a negative number and underdogs usually have a positive number.

Moneyline
The sportsbook’s weighted analysis of which team will win the game outright.

Total
The sportsbook’s analysis of whether the combined score will go over or under a certain number.

Implied Probability
The chance of an outcome based on the sportsbook’s listed odds before removing sportsbook margin.

Vig-Free Probability
A cleaner estimate of each team’s true market probability after removing the sportsbook’s built-in margin.